GAMESTATE AI
Decision intelligence · Local MVP

FOURTH-DOWN ANALYZER

Grade the decision.
Ignore the outcome.

Real historical NFL play-by-play. Auditable samples. No fabricated win probabilities.

Game state

Run the analyzer to inspect the historical decision set.

HISTORICAL LAB

13 Seconds

Buffalo 36, Kansas City 33 · 0:13 Q4

Actual: touchback

Alternative branches are reconstructed without claiming certainty. The MVP explicitly withholds probabilities until a kickoff model is validated.

EVIDENCE

Comparable plays

Why these plays?Similarity is deterministic: distance 30%, field position 25%, score differential 20%, clock 15%, and quarter 10%. Each component declines linearly as the historical play differs from the entered state.
Similarity ↓SeasonMatchupGame stateDecisionEPAResult